Bittensor ($TAO) ranked among the altcoins posting notable drawdowns over the past 24 hours, slipping nearly 7% in a single session. The token has traded in the red each day since Monday, September 7, extending a losing streak that now spans five consecutive sessions.
Derivatives and Spot Demand Weaken
Data from Coinalyze shows Open Interest declining 14.3% in 24 hours, while spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has also trended lower since Monday. The combined drop signals a lack of conviction from both spot buyers and derivatives participants. If the current trajectory holds, $TAO could record a fifth straight day of losses—a setback for bulls who recently watched the asset climb to a three-month high near $277 following its launch on Raydium.
Weekly Structure Remains Bearish
On the weekly timeframe, the technical picture underscores the downtrend. A swing low registered at $167.8 in April 2025 was breached by a weekly candle close at $163.2 in February 2026, confirming a bearish swing structure. Key levels to monitor include:
- $142.8 and $377.8 — primary swing points on the weekly chart
- $291.6 — a June high that, if cleared, could unlock short- to medium-term upside
- $300 — psychological round number and critical supply zone
The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum, yet On-Balance Volume (OBV) has declined steadily since October, reflecting persistent bear-market conditions. A genuine bullish recovery would require a decisive break above the $377.8 swing point, with $300 acting as the first major hurdle.
Resistance Cluster at $291.6–$300 Caps Upside
Despite a relief rally from below $200 to nearly $280 in recent weeks, price structure remains bearish. The $291.6 high from June sits just beneath the $300 supply zone, creating a dual-layer resistance cluster. Overcoming this zone would demand aggressive, sustained buying pressure—demand that may not materialize if Bitcoin struggles to reclaim the $80,000 level after its recent rejection.
Trader Outlook: Wait for Deeper Discount
Swing traders and investors are advised to exercise patience. A pullback toward the $190 region could offer a more favorable risk-reward entry for those anticipating the next bullish $TAO reaction.
Key Takeaways
- $TAO declined ~7% in 24 hours; Open Interest fell just over 14%.
- Weekly structure is bearish; bulls have failed to flip $300 into support.
- Next meaningful upside requires a weekly close above $377.8.
- Near-term bias favors further drawdown unless Bitcoin regains $80K and spurs broad risk-on flows.
Leave a Reply