Jan Czarnocki of Elastics on Institutional Prediction Markets: “The best future is where sharps are the underwriters of insurance policies for big institutional players”

Elastics Executive Predicts Prediction Markets Will Displace Traditional Commercial Insurance

Jan Czarnocki, Chief of Staff and General Counsel at Elastics, appeared on the NEXTPredict Podcast to outline a transformative vision for prediction markets. According to Czarnocki, these platforms are poised to evolve well beyond retail sports betting and eventually displace traditional commercial insurance models.

Shift Toward Corporate Risk Management and Event Hedging

During the discussion, Czarnocki explained the structural shift toward corporate risk management and event hedging. He described a future where skilled forecasters from leading prediction platforms take on underwriting roles traditionally held by insurance institutions.

“The best future is where sharps from Polymarket and Kalshi are actually the underwriters of insurance policies for big institutional players…”

This perspective signals a fundamental change in how institutional risk could be priced and managed, leveraging the collective intelligence and market efficiency of decentralized prediction markets.